Explaining Closing Stock Prices Using Daily Market Indicators: Evidence from the Global Restaurant Industry

Main Article Content

Septien Dwi Savandha
Kumaresu Murugasu
Jorge Isaac Torres Manrique

Abstract

This study examines the extent to which daily market trading variables explain closing stock prices in a dataset of listed restaurant-related firms. The empirical model uses the closing stock price as the dependent variable and the opening price, high price, low price, and trading volume as explanatory variables, with the adjusted closing price as a comparison variable. Python is employed for data preparation, descriptive statistics, visualization, correlation analysis, and linear regression modeling. The literature review draws on thirty-one studies and shows that accounting information, financial ratios, and market indicators are commonly linked to share prices, although their explanatory strength varies across markets, industries, and methods. The empirical results show that same-day price variables are strongly associated with closing price, whereas trading volume has a weaker direct relationship with price levels. The model therefore provides evidence of same-day price explanation rather than a complete future-forecasting system. The study provides a structured framework for integrating accounting-performance concepts with Python-based market analysis and identifies the accounting data required for a more comprehensive journal-level model.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Article Details

Section

Articles

References

Khanagha, J. B. (2011). Value relevance of accounting information in the United Arab Emirates. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 1(2), 33-45.

Alfaraih, M., & Alanezi, F. (2011). The usefulness of earnings and book value for equity valuation to Kuwait Stock Exchange participants. International Business & Economics Research Journal, 10(1), 73-90. https://doi.org/10.19030/iber.v10i1.929 DOI: https://doi.org/10.19030/iber.v10i1.929

Ramezanian, M. R., Shaverdi, M., & Faridi, A. (2011). Combination neural network and financial indices for stock price prediction. Journal of Applied Sciences, 11(19), 3429-3435. https://doi.org/10.3923/jas.2011.3429.3435 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3923/jas.2011.3429.3435

Jiang, X., & Lee, B. S. (2012). Do decomposed financial ratios predict stock returns and fundamentals better? Financial Review, 47(3), 531-564. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6288.2012.00339.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6288.2012.00339.x

Al-Hares, O. M., AbuGhazaleh, N. M., & El-Galfy, A. M. (2012). Value relevance of earnings, book value and dividends in an emerging capital market: Kuwait evidence. Global Finance Journal, 23(3), 221-234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2012.10.006 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2012.10.006

Srinivasan, P. (2012). Determinants of equity share prices in India: A panel data approach. Romanian Economic Journal, 15(46), 205-228.

Adebiyi, A. A., Ayo, C. K., Adebiyi, M. O., & Otokiti, S. O. (2012). Stock price prediction using neural network with hybridized market indicators. Journal of Emerging Trends in Computing and Information Sciences, 3(1), 1-9.

Glezakos, M., Mylonakis, J., & Kafouros, C. (2012). The impact of accounting information on stock prices: Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(2), 56-68. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v4n2p56

Kargin, S. (2013). The impact of IFRS on the value relevance of accounting information: Evidence from Turkish firms. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 5(4), 71-80. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v5n4p71 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v5n4p71

Lam, K. C. K., Sami, H., & Zhou, H. (2013). Changes in the value relevance of accounting information over time: Evidence from the emerging market of China. Journal of Contemporary Accounting & Economics, 9(2), 123-135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcae.2013.06.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcae.2013.06.001

Tandon, K., & Malhotra, N. (2013). Determinants of stock prices: Empirical evidence from NSE 100 companies. International Journal of Research in Management & Technology, 3(3), 86-95.

Bepari, M. K., Rahman, S. F., & Mollik, A. T. (2013). Value relevance of earnings and cash flows during the global financial crisis. Review of Accounting and Finance, 12(3), 226-251. https://doi.org/10.1108/RAF-May-2012-0050 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/RAF-May-2012-0050

Menike, M. G. P. D., & Prabath, U. S. (2014). The impact of accounting variables on stock price: Evidence from the Colombo Stock Exchange, Sri Lanka. International Journal of Business and Management, 9(5), 125-137. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v9n5p125 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v9n5p125

Almumani, M. A. (2014). Determinants of equity share prices of the listed banks in Amman Stock Exchange: Quantitative approach. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 5(1), 91-104.

Jabbari, E., & Fathi, Z. (2014). Prediction of stock returns using financial ratios based on historical cost, compared with adjusted prices (accounting for inflation) with neural network approach. Indian Journal of Fundamental and Applied Life Sciences, 4(S4), 1064-1078.

Mironiuc, M., Carp, M., & Chersan, I.-C. (2015). The relevance of financial reporting on the performance of quoted Romanian companies in the context of adopting the IFRS. Procedia Economics and Finance, 20, 404-413. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00090-8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00090-8

Zahedi, J., & Rounaghi, M. M. (2015). Application of artificial neural network models and principal component analysis method in predicting stock prices on Tehran Stock Exchange. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 438, 178-187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2015.06.033 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2015.06.033

Arkan, T. (2016). The importance of financial ratios in predicting stock price trends: A case study in emerging markets. Finanse, Rynki Finansowe, Ubezpieczenia, 1(79), 13-26. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18276/frfu.2016.79-01

Xu, L., & Cai, F. (2016). Value relevance of earnings, book value, revenue, and R&D. Business Review, Cambridge, 24(1), 91-97.

Adetunji, S. A. (2016). The value relevance of earnings in the return-earnings relation in the Nigerian Deposit Money Banks. Cogent Business & Management, 3(1), 1210276. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2016.1210276 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2016.1210276

Puspitaningtyas, Z. (2017). Is financial performance reflected in stock prices? Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, 40, 17-28. https://doi.org/10.2991/icame-17.2017.2 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2991/icame-17.2017.2

Pražák, T., & Stavárek, D. (2017). The effect of financial ratios on the stock price development. Working Papers in Interdisciplinary Economics and Business Research, 43, 1-23.

Zhong, X., & Enke, D. (2017). Forecasting daily stock market return using dimensionality reduction. Expert Systems with Applications, 67, 126-139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2016.09.027 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2016.09.027

Fischer, T., & Krauss, C. (2018). Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions. European Journal of Operational Research, 270(2), 654-669. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2017.11.054 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2017.11.054

Hung, D. N., Ha, H. T. V., & Binh, D. T. (2018). Impact of accounting information on financial statements to the stock price of the energy enterprises listed on Vietnam Stock Market. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 8(2), 1-6.

Henrique, B. M., Sobreiro, V. A., & Kimura, H. (2019). Literature review: Machine learning techniques applied to financial market prediction. Expert Systems with Applications, 124, 226-251. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2019.01.012 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2019.01.012

Shah, D., Isah, H., & Zulkernine, F. (2019). Stock market analysis: A review and taxonomy of prediction techniques. International Journal of Financial Studies, 7(2), 26. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7020026 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7020026

Basak, S., Kar, S., Saha, S., Khaidem, L., & Dey, S. R. (2019). Predicting the direction of stock market prices using tree-based classifiers. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 47, 552-567. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2018.06.013 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2018.06.013

Nti, I. K., Adekoya, A. F., & Weyori, B. A. (2020). A systematic review of fundamental and technical analysis of stock market predictions. Artificial Intelligence Review, 53, 3007-3057. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-019-09754-z DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-019-09754-z

Rahman, M. J., & Liu, R. (2021). Value relevance of accounting information and stock price reaction: Empirical evidence from China. Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, 20(1), 5-27. https://doi.org/10.24818/jamis.2021.01001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.24818/jamis.2021.01001

Zandi, G., Shahzad, I. A., & Lokanathan, V. (2021). Financial ratios and company stock performance: An empirical study of public companies listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE). Academy of Entrepreneurship Journal, 27(6), 1-9.